来自 昏昏睡睡HSE · From Drowsy HSE
CSP DAILY LEARNING · DAY 121
本课只做一件事：用 5 道题检验「安全预算与成本效益」，并把错的那几道归到具体原因上。
Test Safety Budget & Cost-Benefit with five items and trace every miss to a specific cause.
本课不涉及：不出新知识点——只检验前四课学过的内容。
Not covered here: No new material — only what lessons 1 to 4 covered.
本课目标 | Learning objectives
- 5 题至少答对 4 题，并说清每题依据
- 把错题归为「词不懂 / 问句读错 / 依据不足」三类之一
- 说出本块学到的三条可迁移结论
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五题复盘 | Five-question recap
选出答案并提交，查看解析与依据。/ Pick an answer, submit, and read the rationale.
1. 事故间接成本通常是直接成本的？
Indirect incident costs typically run how many times direct costs?
2. 期望损失的计算是？
Expected loss equals?
3. 五桶预算中经济下行时最不该砍的是？
In a downturn, which budget bucket should be cut last?
4. 候选措施排序的依据是？
What ranks candidate controls?
5. 「十年没出过事」在概率估算里的地位是？
How does 'ten clean years' figure into probability estimates?
错因归类 | Sort your misses
- 只报直接成本做论证 → 冰山报一半，投入永远显得贵；用全成本口径Arguing with direct costs only → The iceberg shows half, so investment always looks expensive; use total-cost accounting
- 按嗓门排项目 → 带比值表进预算会Ranking projects by who shouts loudest → Bring a ratio table into the budget meeting
- 历史平安=零概率 → 概率来自条件与频次，不来自运气A safe history = zero probability → Probability comes from conditions and frequency, not luck
接下来学什么：下一块（Day 122–126）继续 Domain 2：安全领导力与沟通——可见可问可追三件套、安全接触四步脚本、沟通漏斗与对上一页纸。
Next block (Days 122–126), still in Domain 2: safety leadership and communication — visible, asking, following through; the four-step safety contact; the communication funnel and the one-page brief upward.
学习打卡与笔记 | Progress & notes
已完成 0/4 项 / 0/4 tasks complete
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可靠来源 | Official references
BCSP — CSP Examination Blueprint (CSP11)
BCSP — Official Self-Assessments
BCSP — Certified Safety Professional (CSP)
Pearson VUE — CSP 考试预约 / Scheduling
本课为一般性学习资料，不替代现场专业评估、法规要求或组织程序。/ Educational content only.
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